TIMES.KY

Cayman Islands, Caribbeanand International News
Friday, Apr 19, 2024

Why billionaire Ray Dalio thinks another economic disaster is coming - and how he recommends preparing for it

Why billionaire Ray Dalio thinks another economic disaster is coming - and how he recommends preparing for it

Hedge fund billionaire Ray Dalio gives advice on how to prepare yourself for future financial catastrophes - and what could tank the American economy next.

“First, Ray Dalio foresaw the 2008 financial crisis. Then, he predicted years of long-term financial strain on the U.S. economy from the Covid pandemic.

Now, the 72-year-old billionaire investor who built Bridgewater Associates into the world’s largest hedge fund is warning of a new economic catastrophe on the horizon — and he wants you to be prepared.

“I think we’re at risk of a war with China,” Dalio told CNBC Make It during a live-streamed Q&A on Friday. “Largely due to misunderstandings.”

Dalio noted that his predictions aren’t facts: He’s been wrong before, too. But, he said, future catastrophes are inevitable, according to historical patterns over the last 500 years.

Why Dalio thinks the U.S.-China trade war could get worse


In his newest book, “Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order,” Dalio wrote that American attempts to make China and its culture “more American” could eventually backfire, prompting a conflict.

That could intensify the two nations’ trade war, which was started by the Trump Administration in 2018 and has led American companies to cut wages, lower profit margins and raise consumer prices.

A Moody’s Analytics study found that the trade war cost Americans at least 300,000 jobs in just its first year. Last year, a Federal Reserve Bank of New York study found that the trade war had cost American companies $1.7 trillion in market capitalization.

Dalio’s comments about China have prompted recent controversy. After telling CNBC last week that China’s human rights policies were akin to those of a “strict parent,” he clarified his comments in a LinkedIn post. “I was attempting to explain what a Chinese leader told me about how they think about governing,” Dalio wrote. “I was not expressing my own opinion or endorsing that approach.”

In that post, he also expressed hope that the U.S. and China could back away from the precipice of conflict.

His first tip: Assess your financial risks


Regardless of what happens, Dalio said on Friday, he has a simple principle for approaching future events: “If you worry, you don’t have to worry. And if you don’t worry, you have to worry.”

Worrying, he said, prompts you to take a close look at your own personal risks — and encourages you to take action on them.

One risk, for example, could be “location,” meaning the physical place where you live and work. Dalio’s book contains a “Health Index” that rates roughly a dozen nations on 18 factors like debt burdens, military strength and economic output. It’s intended as a resource for readers to assess risks and form strategies on where to live and invest, and according to Forbes, he plans to launch a website housing real-time versions of the data.

Moving is, of course, often a hassle — but Dalio said it’s worth considering under financially worrying circumstances. “Flexibility is key,” he added.

Similarly, he advised, measure your financial risks in inflation-adjusted terms instead of today’s dollars. If you have cash in a savings account, for example, it’s probably accruing value at a different rate than your other investments, since it’s being taxed by inflation.

His second tip: Save and diversify your portfolio


Dalio’s first step to a strong portfolio is assessing your current investment strategy — if you have one — to figure out how many weeks you could financially survive if you lost your job. “It always pays to find out whatever the worst-case scenario is and cover yourself from that,” Dalio said.

Then, make sure your money isn’t all in one place. “Cash is not a safe investment,” Dalio told CNBC last week, as inflation hit a 31-year high in the U.S. Instead, he suggested on Friday, build as diverse a portfolio as possible — ranging from inflation index bonds, which Dalio recommended above regular bonds, to physical assets like gold.

Your portfolio could even include digital assets like cryptocurrencies. In May, Dalio told CoinDesk that he personally owns a “small amount” of bitcoin, despite years of criticizing crypto. The reason, Dalio said on Friday: It’s a hedge bet, made solely for the purpose of diversification.

“I urge those who like bitcoin — or those who like gold — to not make it an all-or-none decision,” he said.

Newsletter

Related Articles

TIMES.KY
0:00
0:00
Close
Paper straws found to contain long-lasting and potentially toxic chemicals - study
FTX's Bankman-Fried headed for jail after judge revokes bail
Blackrock gets half a trillion dollar deal to rebuild Ukraine
Israel: Unprecedented Civil Disobedience Looms as IDF Reservists Protest Judiciary Reform
America's First New Nuclear Reactor in Nearly Seven Years Begins Operations
Southeast Asia moves closer to economic unity with new regional payments system
Today Hunter Biden’s best friend and business associate, Devon Archer, testified that Joe Biden met in Georgetown with Russian Moscow Mayor's Wife Yelena Baturina who later paid Hunter Biden $3.5 million in so called “consulting fees”
Singapore Carries Out First Execution of a Woman in Two Decades Amid Capital Punishment Debate
Google testing journalism AI. We are doing it already 2 years, and without Google biased propoganda and manipulated censorship
Unlike illegal imigrants coming by boats - US Citizens Will Need Visa To Travel To Europe in 2024
Musk announces Twitter name and logo change to X.com
The politician and the journalist lost control and started fighting on live broadcast.
The future of sports
Unveiling the Black Hole: The Mysterious Fate of EU's Aid to Ukraine
Farewell to a Music Titan: Tony Bennett, Renowned Jazz and Pop Vocalist, Passes Away at 96
Alarming Behavior Among Florida's Sharks Raises Concerns Over Possible Cocaine Exposure
Transgender Exclusion in Miss Italy Stirs Controversy Amidst Changing Global Beauty Pageant Landscape
Joe Biden admitted, in his own words, that he delivered what he promised in exchange for the $10 million bribe he received from the Ukraine Oil Company.
TikTok Takes On Spotify And Apple, Launches Own Music Service
Global Trend: Using Anti-Fake News Laws as Censorship Tools - A Deep Dive into Tunisia's Scenario
Arresting Putin During South African Visit Would Equate to War Declaration, Asserts President Ramaphosa
Hacktivist Collective Anonymous Launches 'Project Disclosure' to Unearth Information on UFOs and ETIs
Typo sends millions of US military emails to Russian ally Mali
Server Arrested For Theft After Refusing To Pay A Table's $100 Restaurant Bill When They Dined & Dashed
The Changing Face of Europe: How Mass Migration is Reshaping the Political Landscape
China Urges EU to Clarify Strategic Partnership Amid Trade Tensions
Europe is boiling: Extreme Weather Conditions Prevail Across the Continent
The Last Pour: Anchor Brewing, America's Pioneer Craft Brewer, Closes After 127 Years
Democracy not: EU's Digital Commissioner Considers Shutting Down Social Media Platforms Amid Social Unrest
Sarah Silverman and Renowned Authors Lodge Copyright Infringement Case Against OpenAI and Meta
Italian Court's Controversial Ruling on Sexual Harassment Ignites Uproar
Why Do Tech Executives Support Kennedy Jr.?
The New York Times Announces Closure of its Sports Section in Favor of The Athletic
BBC Anchor Huw Edwards Hospitalized Amid Child Sex Abuse Allegations, Family Confirms
Florida Attorney General requests Meta CEO's testimony on company's platforms' alleged facilitation of illicit activities
The Distorted Mirror of actual approval ratings: Examining the True Threat to Democracy Beyond the Persona of Putin
40,000 child slaves in Congo are forced to work in cobalt mines so we can drive electric cars.
BBC Personalities Rebuke Accusations Amidst Scandal Involving Teen Exploitation
A Swift Disappointment: Why Is Taylor Swift Bypassing Canada on Her Global Tour?
Historic Moment: Edgars Rinkevics, EU's First Openly Gay Head of State, Takes Office as Latvia's President
Bye bye democracy, human rights, freedom: French Cops Can Now Secretly Activate Phone Cameras, Microphones And GPS To Spy On Citizens
The Poor Man With Money, Mark Zuckerberg, Unveils Twitter Replica with Heavy-Handed Censorship: A New Low in Innovation?
Unilever Plummets in a $2.5 Billion Free Fall, to begin with: A Reckoning for Misuse of Corporate Power Against National Interest
Beyond the Blame Game: The Need for Nuanced Perspectives on America's Complex Reality
Twitter Targets Meta: A Tangle of Trade Secrets and Copycat Culture
The Double-Edged Sword of AI: AI is linked to layoffs in industry that created it
US Sanctions on China's Chip Industry Backfire, Prompting Self-Inflicted Blowback
Meta Copy Twitter with New App, Threads
The New French Revolution
BlackRock Bitcoin ETF Application Refiled, Naming Coinbase as ‘Surveillance-Sharing’ Partner
×